Posts Tagged ‘Telstra’

Have you heard of Anadarko? (Guest post from T.Osegowitsch)

July 7, 2010

My colleague Tom Osegowitsch suggested I write about this topic.  I countered with an offer to host him as a Guest Blogger.  So here is Tom:

Have you heard of Anadarko?

Chances are you haven’t. Yet Anadarko is a company currently involved in the largest oil spill in US history. The reason why you haven’t heard of them is because they do not have the iconic status and size of BP in the oil industry. BP (65%) and Anadarko Petroleum (25%) are co-owners (along with Mitsui of Japan, at 10%) of the ill-fated oil well presently gushing in the Gulf of Mexico.

BP is serving as the lightning rod for the public’s outrage. Its executives were hauled before Congress for a grilling. In the face of harsh criticism, the company has suspended its dividends, cut scheduled investments and liquidated some $US10bn in assets so as to establish a $US20 billion compensation fund. In an unprecedented move, BP has just been asked by the US Department of Justice to notify it of any “corporate restructuring, reorganisation, acquisitions, mergers, joint ventures, sales, divestments or disbursements” to counter the possibility that the oil giant could limit its liability.

In the meantime, co-owner Anadarko, a US-based company, has just paid out its July dividends and affirmed that it will continue to do so in September and December. And the company has by and large escaped the public and politicians baying for blood.

You might think BP was the operator of the sunken Deepwater Horizon rig which triggered the oil spill, and Anadarko, as the passive investor, should be spared. In fact, the rig was operated by neither. Transocean, a US company which recently relocated to Switzerland, was the owner and operator of the oil rig. Unless you have been following the disaster closely, you probably haven’t heard of them either.

In recent years, leading companies have had to shoulder a disproportionate share of the blame for misdeeds, acts of negligence or just bad luck. Irrespective of whether accusations are justified, the point is that they tend to hit industry leaders hardest, on account of these firms’ iconic status and market share. More generally, it seems that industry leaders are held to much stricter standards than the minnows.

This would seem to be an increasingly prominent yet largely overlooked source of diseconomies of scale, the notion that firm size – beyond a certain point – leads to an increase in average unit costs. Complexity is one frequently cited source of such diseconomies: as firms grow in size, managing a multitude of different operations and locations requires disproportionate coordination efforts which nudge unit costs upward. The higher standards expected of industry leaders (in the wake of a disaster or more generally) would seem to be another, growing source of such diseconomies.

Telstra has for a long time been viewed as the 600 pound gorilla in the Australian telecoms industry. The company’s dominant market share (mostly a legacy of its former monopoly status) make them a popular target of criticism from customers, suppliers, rivals and regulators. The same goes for Microsoft which in some circles is portrayed as a satanic force. Dealing with complaints, countering criticism and “setting the record straight”, as well as fighting law suits can be taxing on company resources and management time. Industry leaders are often singled out and held accountable for their entire industry. Activists of all kinds know that going after the “soft target” at the top of the industry is the quickest and most efficient way to affect change, thus elevating the leader’s costs.

Source: Frank Wright

Even companies previously embraced by the public are in danger of a backlash once they become sufficiently dominant in their industry. Google comes to mind. Even Teflon-coated Apple has recently come in for criticism in some circles for its powerful position on account of iTunes and/or its association with supplier Foxconn.

Market-leading size and position are often the ultimate objective of company strategies. Firms would do well to remember that such exalted positions are precarious. As Icarus discovered, the wings that allowed him to escape from his island prison also led him too close to the sun and, ultimately, his downfall.

Andre’s addition: I would throw in the disproportinate attention paid to Nike‘s (and, as Tom highlights, more recently Apple’s) outsourced labour practices as another version of this. Similarly McDonald’s seems to receive much greater scrutiny on the ‘healthiness (or not)’ front than do smaller (i.e. less successful) burger vendors.

Can anyone think of further examples (particularly Australian)?

Taking charge in a new electric world

July 4, 2010

As I said last week, a big strategic challenge for any business is recognising shifts in the external environment which may represent threats or opportunities to existing sources of income.

One clearly declining ‘product’ in the face of technological change (i.e. the rise of mobile phones) has been the public phonebox.

It’s very cool to see a telecoms company thiking laterally about this costly legacy infrastructure. Telekom Austria has started converting some of their phoneboxes into recharge stations for electric vehicles.

How clever to tap into a hot trend early. Phoneboxes are likely to be in high-traffic areas, are hard for NIMBY residents to object to (given they boxes are already in situ), and may well have some of the power infrastructure (they are lit at least).

While I have little-to-no faith in Aussie equivalent Telstra being so proactive, this does strike me as an example Better Place should be looking at.

What other public infrastructure could be adapted to better/greener use?

h/t: Springwise

Facing an inevitable bust?

March 19, 2010

I was a little alarmed by the comments from the head of the Australian operations of the Blockbuster video store operations this week.

In response to inquiries about the viability of the local concern in light of the likely bankruptcy of their US parent (well sort of parent – it’s pretty much an international franchising setup with the distinct Aussie entity using the US mob’s brand, systems etc), Paul Uniacke indicated (in effect) that he saw no significant threat from alternatives to his bricks and mortar operations. This is despite the US version experiencing a 16% sales drop in the last quarter.

His argument is that Aussie consumers haven’t embraced mail-order DVD delivery offerings from startup competitors, nor have they shifted to streaming/download options.

I would think the missing word there is “yet“.  Surely it is only a matter of time before wandering up to an understocked, inconvenient video store becomes as quaint and antique an idea as using a phone box or sending a telegram?

He is right that the actual decline in store-based DVD rentals hasn’t happened here yet, but I am certain growth slowed a while back, and that decline is just around the corner.

Mail order might not the threat its proponents hoped for, but streaming will be (as demonstrated already by the utilisation of illegal and legal download services).  The much vaunted upgrade in Aussie broadband infrastructure will greatly facilitate this.

The strategic lesson: just because technology and socio-cultural effects haven’t kicked in yet, don’t fob them off as irrelevant.  Learn lessons from similar and more advanced markets.

Blockbuster Australia should be looking very, very hard at web-based video delivery (although, I must say, I can’t see that much in their existing resources and capabilities that would see them out-perform Amazon, Apple or even Telstra on this front). Alternatively, they’ve got to find something interesting to do with all of the stores.

As an aside, my local Blockbuster has halved in floorspace in the past year, and still looks empty every time I walk past…

The Aussie Big’uns

May 4, 2009

You might have noticed I’m a bit of a fan of lists and rankings. I have done work with Fortune magazine’s Global 500 (i.e. the largest firms in the world). Forbes magazine goes even deeper, ranking the 2000 largest.

andrethegiant1The latest list is out, and it gives us a chance to look how Australia’s homegrown big boys stack up. Rather than focusing on year-on-year changes (which are strongly determined by exchange rate changes), I thought I’d compare the Aussie performance relative to 2003 (the first year Forbes produced such lists).

Back then Australia had 37 listings. This year it was 46 (including the UK-Aussie pairings of BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto). You could also make a strong case for two more – Lihir Gold and Oil Search – both of whom are effectively managed out of Australia while being officially headquartered in Papua New Guinea. An argument about ‘roots’ might also extend to News Corp which shifted to a US HQ a few years back.

If we take the 46 number, then we’re looking at a 24% increase in representation since 2003 . At the same time, traditional powerhouses such as the US (down 29% to 551 firms), Japan (down 13% to 288 ) and the UK (down 23% to 102) have stumbled.

The big movers? Can you spell BRIC?

Brazil: 13 → 31 (up 138%)
Russia: 6 → 28 (up 367%)
India: 20 → 47 (up 135%
China: 13 → 91 (up 857%!!) If we included Hong Kong the numbers would be 43133 (209%)

So, turning back to Australia, what should we make of this state of affairs? We have the tenth most list members while being the 14th largest economy in the world by unadjusted GDP. On this simple count front we are outperforming bigger economies like Italy (41), Spain (33), Russia (28) and Mexico (18). The only nation to ‘pass us’ relative to GDP ranking is South Korea (61). A couple of northern neighbours are outperforming their GDP status also: Taiwan (45) and Hong Kong (42).

In terms of the top end, there are 12 Aussie firms in the top 500 and five between 501-1000. Back in 2003, the count was 7 and 12. We are slightly ‘underweight’ in these upper echelons.

Who are the biggest Aussie players then?

The big four banks (Commonwealth, nab, Westpac, ANZ) split the prize with our two aforementioned mining giants (BHP Billiton & Rio), and are followed by Telstra, the diversified Wesfamers and retail fave Woolworths.

The biggest winners over the six years:dean-lukin

BHP Billiton (up from #133 to #52)
Rio Tinto (232 → 69)
Commonwealth Bank (141 → 59)
Woolworths (666 → 284)
Wesfarmers (866 → 266)
QBE (834 → 378)
Brambles (1155 → 684)
Insurance Australia Group (1568 → 979)
Woodside Petroleum (1933 → 762)
Origin Energy (nowhere → 732)

Biggest Losers:

Amcor (731 → 1342)
Foster’s (853 → 1389)
CSR (1113 → nowhere)

Most of the big winners have pretty extensive international operations, and I dare say almost all have increased the extent of their internationalisation over the 6 year period (anyone want to check?). Two of the losers have made some pricey and questionable commitments to the US market (much of Amcor and Fosters’ falls happened over the past 12 months).

There is a whole lot more that could be discussed out of these rankings. It really is a rich data source. For now, it does offer some support for an argument that Australian multinationals aren’t doing too badly, but could perhaps learn a lot from their emerging market counterparts.